0xaca47e...2df852

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$6.1K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.69

Sortino Ratio

178.10

Max Drawdown

6.6%

ROI

96.2%

Profit Factor

16.97

Kelly Fraction

0.470

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

087.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	12.5¢	798.018	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	9.9¢	4,050.802	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	91.5¢	439.4	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	75.1¢	439.408	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	70.5¢	390.127	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	47.0¢	212.766	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	45.7¢	1,094.135	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.5¢	879.38	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.7¢	226.471	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	70.0¢	279	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	70.0¢	142.7	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	76.2¢	457.686	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.8¢	499.38	Mar 1
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	BUY	26.3¢	758.776	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	39.9¢	499.383	Feb 28
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?	BUY	13.6¢	69.781	Feb 28
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	SELL	1.2¢	794.17	Feb 28
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	BUY	6.0¢	794.177	Feb 28
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	5.8¢	820.32	Feb 28
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	8.4¢	293.69	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro87.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)79.9%

Win Consistency69.2%

Profit Factor2.28

Drawdown Resilience1.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.84

Weekly Sharpe est.1.40

Trading Activity30 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$2872d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue