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0xaca6cb...43b141

0xaca6cb...43b141
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
45.5%
Total P&L
-$0
Trade Count
19
Sharpe Ratio
3.76
Sortino Ratio
29.63
Max Drawdown
87.0%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
1.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?SELL14.3¢15Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY14.4¢13.75Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY14.0¢10.071Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?SELL85.9¢3.75Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL80.0¢8.3Mar 5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY15.1¢10Mar 4
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?BUY29.0¢6Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL15.0¢25Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?BUY26.1¢10.305Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY51.0¢3Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY5.5¢10.73Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY39.0¢25Mar 3
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY29.0¢6Mar 3
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY29.0¢6Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?BUY10.8¢17.5Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY60.0¢8.3Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY68.8¢3.75Mar 2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY38.0¢7.5Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?BUY34.0¢7.5Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%27%10–20%27%20–30%20%30–50%20%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.80
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.8%
Win Consistency69.2%
Profit Factor0.85
Drawdown Resilience0.69
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity19 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$241d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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