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0xace075...83f763

0xace075...83f763
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
67.6%
Total P&L
+$5
Trade Count
87
Sharpe Ratio
-1.46
Sortino Ratio
-1.37
Max Drawdown
1151.8%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
1.59
Kelly Fraction
0.250
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
08.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY98.0¢8.163Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.4¢6.036Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢7.29Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢7.292Mar 3
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL80.8¢11.12Mar 3
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY80.9¢11.125Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ETBUY98.5¢8.122Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7AM ETBUY98.0¢5.102Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2AM ETBUY98.0¢8.163Mar 1
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.2¢10.66Mar 1
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.8¢10.661Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1AM ETBUY99.9¢10.01Mar 1
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL97.2¢9.24Mar 1
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY97.3¢9.25Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9PM ETBUY97.0¢9.278Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4PM ETBUY92.0¢6.522Feb 28
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)BUY98.0¢6.122Feb 28
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)BUY94.0¢9.574Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL90.0¢6.63Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY90.4¢6.637Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%11%30–50%11%50–70%70–80%13%80–90%61%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.47
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.8%
Win Consistency34.2%
Profit Factor0.22
Drawdown Resilience0.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.14
Trading Activity55 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1640d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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