0xace51d...c84457

Smart Score

Win Rate

22.6%

Total P&L

+$40

Trade Count

749

Sharpe Ratio

-0.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.15

Max Drawdown

5732.7%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1.03

Kelly Fraction

0.007

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	SELL	10.0¢	69.62	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 6?	SELL	22.0¢	19.84	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	SELL	13.0¢	6.31	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 6?	BUY	25.2¢	19.846	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	8.0¢	1.957	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	10.0¢	38	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	8.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	8.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	8.0¢	17.05	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	9.0¢	0.68	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	3.0¢	134.99	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	9.0¢	18.2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	9.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	9.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	9.0¢	5.495	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	9.0¢	19	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	9.0¢	25.62	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	BUY	9.0¢	19	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	18.5¢	145	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	18.5¢	5	Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.3%

Win Consistency30.1%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity749 trades · 40 active days

P&L Calendar

$63715d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics