0xacf6bc...f4ce9e

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.8%

Total P&L

-$36

Trade Count

111

Sharpe Ratio

-1.79

Sortino Ratio

-2.29

Max Drawdown

818.5%

ROI

-21.3%

Profit Factor

0.31

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	31.0¢	16.129	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	10.8¢	9.259	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	59.0¢	9.69	Mar 3
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	33.3¢	6.006	Mar 3
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 3
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?	BUY	4.7¢	21.277	Mar 3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	1.87	Mar 3
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	30.0¢	1.21	Mar 3
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	BUY	23.0¢	4.348	Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	16.0¢	7.14	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Mar 3
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	48.0¢	1.08	Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	48.0¢	2.083	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Mar 2
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	6.25	Mar 2
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	BUY	74.0¢	1.351	Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	42.0¢	2.381	Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency36.5%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity111 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$774d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue