0xad0e0d...57e763

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

+$941

Trade Count

189

Sharpe Ratio

1.90

Sortino Ratio

58.59

Max Drawdown

1767.3%

ROI

11.9%

Profit Factor

2.52

Kelly Fraction

0.201

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	26.3¢	380.38	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.3¢	100	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	56.4¢	994.57	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	256.41	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	50.1¢	100	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	49.2¢	406.425	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	52.0¢	384.822	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	54.1¢	203.327	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.0¢	1,079.08	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	53.2¢	187.97	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	53.4¢	187.114	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	7.0¢	142.606	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	48.2¢	207.413	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	57.1¢	175.131	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	56.0¢	178.594	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	70.0¢	142.857	Mar 4
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	SELL	20.0¢	17.85	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	SELL	65.1¢	15.6	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	BUY	46.0¢	2.174	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.5%

Win Consistency54.4%

Profit Factor0.99

Drawdown Resilience0.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity189 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$5621d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue