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0xad108f...ca448e

0xad108f...ca448e
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
50.6%
Total P&L
-$1.2K
Trade Count
2,295
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Sortino Ratio
2.16
Max Drawdown
2312.2%
ROI
-0.4%
Profit Factor
0.73
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY64.0¢15.625Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL58.0¢12.82Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?SELL74.0¢14.49Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL14.0¢12.5Mar 5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?BUY97.6¢20.492Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY76.0¢28.947Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY75.1¢6.658Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL81.0¢12.5Mar 4
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)BUY56.0¢7.143Mar 4
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)SELL47.0¢8.33Mar 4
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)BUY48.0¢8.333Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY60.0¢8.333Mar 4
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)BUY53.0¢3.774Mar 4
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5BUY54.0¢7.407Mar 4
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)BUY52.0¢3.846Mar 4
Thunder vs. KnicksBUY39.0¢5.128Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY1.0¢100Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY43.0¢11.628Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY69.0¢14.493Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY80.5¢12.42Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%76%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.3%
Win Consistency48.0%
Profit Factor0.41
Drawdown Resilience0.33
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Trading Activity565 trades · 93 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,57915d profit77d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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