0xad2318...f747c4

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.0%

Total P&L

+$79.4K

Trade Count

984

Sharpe Ratio

2.33

Sortino Ratio

14.94

Max Drawdown

53.5%

ROI

60.9%

Profit Factor

1.94

Kelly Fraction

0.276

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

067.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.2¢	0.1	Feb 3
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	0.2¢	618.42	Feb 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	80.0¢	2.79	Feb 3
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	SELL	94.9¢	25.65	Feb 3
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	SELL	79.9¢	749.98	Feb 3
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	SELL	88.4¢	750.02	Feb 3
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	SELL	92.0¢	969.12	Feb 3
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	17.8¢	2,249.98	Feb 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	90.0¢	974.99	Feb 3
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	SELL	80.0¢	1,245.93	Feb 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?	SELL	25.0¢	3,250	Feb 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	5,418.79	Feb 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?	SELL	13.9¢	9,598.93	Feb 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?	SELL	62.0¢	1,250	Feb 3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	SELL	72.3¢	793.99	Feb 3
Government shutdown on Saturday?	SELL	57.0¢	518.79	Feb 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	89.1¢	199.99	Feb 3
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	SELL	54.9¢	2,111.23	Feb 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?	BUY	28.0¢	359	Feb 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?	BUY	28.0¢	10	Feb 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active67.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.70

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)61.2%

Win Consistency78.4%

Profit Factor1.75

Drawdown Resilience1.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.41

Weekly Sharpe est.1.08

Trading Activity984 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

+$4,1562d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue