0xad2604...9a589c

Smart Score

Win Rate

8.3%

Total P&L

+$5.4K

Trade Count

263

Sharpe Ratio

0.82

Sortino Ratio

9.08

Max Drawdown

81.6%

ROI

31.5%

Profit Factor

3.04

Kelly Fraction

0.056

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	94.7¢	232.78	Feb 6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	94.7¢	2.29	Feb 6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	94.7¢	507	Feb 6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	94.7¢	655.283	Feb 6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	94.7¢	1.82	Feb 6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	94.7¢	6.82	Feb 6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	94.8¢	37.54	Feb 6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.4¢	1,300	Feb 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.8¢	112	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.8¢	20.576	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.8¢	500	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.9¢	3,000	Feb 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.4¢	36.69	Feb 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.4¢	63.31	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.8¢	102.881	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.8¢	1,000	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.8¢	97	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.8¢	8	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.8¢	701	Feb 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.2¢	100	Feb 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.3%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity263 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,0903d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue