0xad2cc9...7d942e

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.9%

Total P&L

-$41

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

0.44

Max Drawdown

114.9%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.80

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
First Round Pool C: Czechia vs. Chinese Taipei	BUY	91.0¢	1.099	Mar 5
First Round Pool B: Brazil vs. USA	BUY	97.1¢	1.03	Mar 5
First Round Pool D: Dominican Rep. vs. Nicaragua	BUY	95.0¢	2.105	Mar 5
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Mexico	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Mar 5
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Netherlands	BUY	91.0¢	1.099	Mar 5
First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Mar 5
First Round Pool C: Czechia vs. Australia	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Mar 5
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Czechia	BUY	95.4¢	1.048	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	94.8¢	1.055	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	2.002	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.003	Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	0.3¢	25,000	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.6¢	1.004	Mar 5
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Mar 5
Will Netflix dip to $0 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Mar 5
Will Amazon reach $296 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Mar 5
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $305?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Mar 5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on March 5?	BUY	99.6¢	1.004	Mar 5
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $240?	BUY	99.4¢	1.006	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.1%

Win Consistency50.9%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity59 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,8390d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue