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0xad4227...005d73

0xad4227...005d73
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
54.1%
Total P&L
+$61
Trade Count
1,802
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Sortino Ratio
0.64
Max Drawdown
26743.1%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
1.03
Kelly Fraction
0.017
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL89.0¢0.7Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL89.0¢0.13Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL91.0¢4.65Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL86.0¢5.16Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL86.0¢8.7Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL87.0¢3.91Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY86.0¢23.256Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY88.0¢22.727Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL65.5¢8.06Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY62.0¢8.065Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?BUY97.9¢20.422Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?BUY97.5¢20.513Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY72.0¢27.778Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY65.0¢12.554Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY93.0¢21.505Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY73.0¢27.397Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY62.0¢32.258Mar 4
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?BUY94.9¢8.746Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY74.6¢26.81Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY59.0¢33.898Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%8%10–20%13%20–30%30%30–50%15%50–70%5%70–80%8%80–90%19%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.61
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.1%
Win Consistency39.8%
Profit Factor0.29
Drawdown Resilience0.23
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23
Weekly Sharpe est.0.18
Trading Activity1,802 trades · 77 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,74313d profit64d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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