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0xad703b...4f4ccf

0xad703b...4f4ccf
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
32.6%
Total P&L
+$56
Trade Count
3,997
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
3.23
Max Drawdown
402.0%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.01
Kelly Fraction
0.004
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000 voters?SELL0.1¢88.99Mar 5
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters?BUY8.0¢10.4Mar 5
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000 voters?SELL0.2¢0.01Mar 5
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5.50% and 6.00%?BUY8.0¢200Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress (NC) win less than 80 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY89.5¢10.056Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY9.8¢55.889Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY7.9¢71.776Mar 4
Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win less than 20 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY4.1¢54.8Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY88.0¢10Mar 4
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?SELL0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 5% or more?SELL0.1¢321.68Mar 4
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters?BUY15.2¢20.32Mar 4
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.2¢1,237.67Mar 4
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?SELL16.5¢25.09Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?BUY59.0¢1.695Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?BUY59.0¢6.441Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?BUY59.0¢3.39Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?BUY3.7¢40.298Mar 4
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?SELL1.8¢200Mar 4
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?SELL0.2¢190.86Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%11%10–20%7%20–30%13%30–50%14%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%
Win Consistency40.9%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity2,614 trades · 227 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,08834d profit181d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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