0xad7c2d...628cd7

Smart Score

Win Rate

24.6%

Total P&L

-$55

Trade Count

216

Sharpe Ratio

0.76

Sortino Ratio

58.22

Max Drawdown

232.6%

ROI

-11.8%

Profit Factor

0.49

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?	BUY	68.0¢	7.353	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	158.545	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	128.978	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in April 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	150	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026?	BUY	13.2¢	75.487	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	155.69	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?	BUY	2.8¢	106.696	Mar 5
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	9.0¢	21.111	Mar 4
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.9¢	111.11	Mar 4
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	16.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 4
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	SELL	11.0¢	7.5	Mar 4
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	SELL	1.1¢	66.4	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.6¢	1.26	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Mar 4
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	BUY	1.5¢	68.513	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	526.316	Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	142.857	Mar 3
Ansem mindshare all time high by March 31?	SELL	8.0¢	8.33	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.9%

Win Consistency25.9%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity216 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$2431d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue