0xad91b3...6f8709

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.7%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.34

Sortino Ratio

-0.32

Max Drawdown

1565.5%

ROI

-0.4%

Profit Factor

-0.10

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.0¢	101.01	Mar 5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.9¢	100	Mar 5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.0¢	101.01	Mar 5
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	200.766	Mar 5
Will Aster be the top performing crypto in February?	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Feb 7
Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Jan 22
Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	SELL	82.0¢	1	Jan 22
Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Jan 22
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) be the best performing company in the Nasdaq 100 during the week of December 19, 2025?	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Dec 16
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) be the best performing company in the Nasdaq 100 during the week of December 19, 2025?	SELL	40.0¢	1	Dec 16
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) be the best performing company in the Nasdaq 100 during the week of December 19, 2025?	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Dec 16
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	91.0¢	1.099	Nov 8
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	BUY	75.0¢	1.333	Oct 14
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Oct 10
Liberal Party (V) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?	BUY	72.0¢	2.778	Aug 21
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?	BUY	89.3¢	2.24	Jul 28
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?	SELL	88.2¢	2	Jul 28
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?	BUY	89.2¢	2.242	Jul 28
Will Trump say "Epstein" this week?	BUY	90.0¢	2.222	Jul 12
Will Stacey Abrams be arrested in 2025?	BUY	91.0¢	2.198	May 19

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.4%

Win Consistency63.6%

Profit Factor0.04

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity20 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$3160d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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