0xae3f82...1d5d56

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.3%

Total P&L

+$465

Trade Count

599

Sharpe Ratio

0.41

Sortino Ratio

1.68

Max Drawdown

396.3%

ROI

5.4%

Profit Factor

4.15

Kelly Fraction

0.518

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	75	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	SELL	84.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	80.7¢	19.99	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	92.4¢	35	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	87.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	87.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	87.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	87.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	87.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	88.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	100	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	89.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	91.0¢	15	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.0%

Win Consistency61.3%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.83

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83

Weekly Sharpe est.0.63

Trading Activity599 trades · 88 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,03924d profit64d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue