0xae45b7...4bbd92

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.5%

Total P&L

+$76

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.41

Sortino Ratio

53.08

Max Drawdown

22.7%

ROI

5.5%

Profit Factor

2.99

Kelly Fraction

0.249

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

064.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	369.538	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	135.48	Mar 5
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	95.2	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	435.788	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	37.538	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	14.6¢	133.54	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	96.0¢	98.083	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	84.0¢	94.143	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	37.4¢	133.549	Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	14.476	Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	SELL	11.5¢	106.22	Feb 28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	95.2	Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	82.6¢	121.009	Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	4.6¢	216.789	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	196.07	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	196.078	Feb 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active64.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.1%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor1.69

Drawdown Resilience1.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.36

Weekly Sharpe est.1.04

Trading Activity16 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$5500d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue