0xae4f27...3237d7

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.2%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.03

Sortino Ratio

0.02

Max Drawdown

162.3%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.57

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	105.105	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	105.21	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	105.105	Feb 14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 4?	BUY	99.9¢	105.105	Feb 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on February 1?	BUY	99.9¢	105.105	Jan 31
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 30?	BUY	99.9¢	105.105	Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	105.075	Jan 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 19?	BUY	0.2¢	1,000	Jan 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on January 20?	BUY	0.3¢	1,266.667	Jan 19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 17?	BUY	99.9¢	110.11	Jan 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?	BUY	99.9¢	110.11	Jan 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11?	BUY	99.9¢	110.11	Jan 10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	110.11	Jan 6
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 3?	BUY	99.9¢	110.11	Jan 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 29?	BUY	99.9¢	110.11	Dec 28
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 22?	BUY	99.9¢	110.11	Dec 22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 15?	BUY	99.9¢	110	Dec 15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on December 8?	BUY	99.9¢	109.889	Dec 7
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 1?	BUY	99.9¢	109.779	Dec 1
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on November 27?	BUY	99.9¢	109.67	Nov 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%

Win Consistency67.1%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity73 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,3510d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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