0xae6fe5...ed041e

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.8%

Total P&L

+$776

Trade Count

112

Sharpe Ratio

-0.31

Sortino Ratio

-0.30

Max Drawdown

1842.9%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

3.53

Kelly Fraction

0.500

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,810	Mar 5
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	1,158.15	Mar 4
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	1,158.15	Mar 4
Thunder vs. Knicks	BUY	63.0¢	253.26	Mar 4
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.2¢	1,597.96	Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.3¢	1,597.96	Mar 3
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.5¢	1,258	Mar 3
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	1,258	Mar 3
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	1,455	Mar 2
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,455	Mar 1
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.4¢	127.656	Mar 1
Blue Jackets vs. Rangers	BUY	46.0¢	116.01	Mar 1
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.4¢	1,821.27	Mar 1
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.5¢	1,821.27	Mar 1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.5¢	1,634	Feb 28
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.6¢	1,634	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	59.7¢	43.91	Feb 28
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,362	Feb 28
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,362	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.7¢	43.721	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.3%

Win Consistency33.9%

Profit Factor0.61

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity112 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,3485d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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