0xae9a4e...117cea

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.7%

Total P&L

+$1.3K

Trade Count

1,946

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.34

Max Drawdown

469.6%

ROI

4.6%

Profit Factor

1.33

Kelly Fraction

0.132

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.0¢	4.075	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?	BUY	85.2¢	1.549	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	80.0¢	1.375	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	82.0¢	1.354	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	87.5¢	1.257	Mar 5
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central Eagles	BUY	26.0¢	7.077	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	86.4¢	5.19	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	4.098	Mar 5
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	BUY	45.0¢	2.4	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	89.1¢	1.212	Mar 5
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	BUY	45.0¢	2.378	Mar 5
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	BUY	45.0¢	4.822	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	16.0¢	90.66	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	17.0¢	40.8	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	17.0¢	34.77	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.1¢	10.53	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.2¢	59	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	21.8¢	69.42	Mar 5
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?	SELL	29.0¢	48.98	Mar 5
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	54.21	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.5%

Win Consistency45.7%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity1,946 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,47913d profit36d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue