0xae9ef4...69b462

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.3%

Total P&L

-$40

Trade Count

132

Sharpe Ratio

2.81

Sortino Ratio

91.94

Max Drawdown

64.4%

ROI

-14.6%

Profit Factor

0.11

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	10.6¢	9.43	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	9.0¢	5	Mar 5
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	16.0¢	9	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	72.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	SELL	55.5¢	4.99	Mar 5
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	SELL	14.0¢	8.66	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	SELL	73.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	78.4¢	5	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	19.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	2.1¢	40	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	2.7¢	40	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	SELL	0.6¢	103.57	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	0.8¢	103.57	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	35.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	77.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	50.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	48.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?	SELL	12.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	25.0¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.93

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.9%

Win Consistency48.9%

Profit Factor0.91

Drawdown Resilience0.74

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity132 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$463d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue