0xaeab62...964997

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.0%

Total P&L

+$451

Trade Count

277

Sharpe Ratio

0.94

Sortino Ratio

8.75

Max Drawdown

5764.8%

ROI

14.8%

Profit Factor

1.63

Kelly Fraction

0.089

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	3.1¢	313.88	Mar 5
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	0.8¢	500	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	0.8¢	250	Mar 5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	BUY	7.0¢	5.88	Mar 5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	BUY	7.0¢	5.376	Mar 4
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	BUY	7.0¢	39.22	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" in March?	BUY	4.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	2.6¢	151.73	Mar 4
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	0.5¢	184.58	Mar 3
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	0.5¢	7.83	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	2.1¢	200	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.7¢	300	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.5¢	300	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.7¢	200	Mar 3
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	0.5¢	289.55	Mar 3
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	0.5¢	9.85	Mar 3
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	0.5¢	20	Mar 3
Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.4¢	359.32	Mar 3
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	0.5¢	8.41	Mar 3
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	0.5¢	31.25	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%

Win Consistency30.6%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity277 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$4994d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue