0xaed711...1fa541

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.3%

Total P&L

+$34

Trade Count

119

Sharpe Ratio

-0.51

Sortino Ratio

-0.75

Max Drawdown

10298.7%

ROI

4.5%

Profit Factor

1.42

Kelly Fraction

0.124

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	62.0¢	50	Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	61.0¢	15.7	Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	61.0¢	30	Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	61.0¢	4.294	Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	52.0¢	50	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	13.75	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	15	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	6.25	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	15	Mar 3
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	75.0¢	197.89	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	75.0¢	2.105	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	200	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on February 19?	BUY	47.0¢	8.1	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on February 19?	BUY	47.0¢	1.9	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 19?	SELL	9.0¢	30	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 19?	SELL	40.0¢	8.44	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 19?	SELL	40.0¢	1	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 18?	SELL	94.0¢	9.14	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?	SELL	47.0¢	10	Feb 18

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.2%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity117 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$32d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue