0xaef196...195e2a

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.5%

Total P&L

+$9

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.28

Sortino Ratio

0.52

Max Drawdown

74.6%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.75

Kelly Fraction

0.370

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	4.073	Mar 5
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?	BUY	95.5¢	9.424	Mar 5
Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in March?	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 5
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?	BUY	96.2¢	10.395	Feb 26
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?	BUY	98.8¢	13.158	Feb 26
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	97.8¢	10.225	Feb 26
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 5?	SELL	99.9¢	12.14	Feb 26
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwe	SELL	99.9¢	20.12	Feb 26
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 5?	BUY	98.8¢	12.146	Feb 26
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffs	BUY	89.0¢	3.371	Feb 26
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwe	BUY	99.4¢	20.121	Feb 26
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	92.0¢	13.043	Jan 22
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	15.73	Jan 22
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	7.098	Dec 29
Will Golden - HUNTR/X be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	BUY	99.3¢	3.021	Dec 29
Will "Eden" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)	BUY	99.9¢	4.004	Dec 29
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	60.545	Dec 29
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	BUY	82.0¢	18.293	Nov 26
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	BUY	93.1¢	9.667	Nov 26
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	98.7¢	8.105	Nov 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.2%

Win Consistency63.5%

Profit Factor1.15

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity57 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,8090d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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