0xaef761...655af1

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.1%

Total P&L

+$486

Trade Count

699

Sharpe Ratio

0.49

Sortino Ratio

3.86

Max Drawdown

202.7%

ROI

7.5%

Profit Factor

1.36

Kelly Fraction

0.142

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	40.0¢	8.19	Mar 5
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?	SELL	59.0¢	19.27	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	37.67	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	38.0¢	22.1	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	25.0¢	150.04	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	38.1¢	22.1	Mar 5
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?	BUY	69.0¢	5.899	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	41.5¢	23.737	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	19.322	Mar 5
Jazz vs. Wizards	BUY	54.0¢	20	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	67.586	Mar 5
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?	BUY	69.0¢	5.899	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	41.1¢	23.954	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	19.322	Mar 5
Jazz vs. Wizards	BUY	55.0¢	19.636	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	67.586	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	44.5¢	22.111	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	16	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	67.586	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	16.0¢	62.938	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.1%

Win Consistency42.4%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity699 trades · 44 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,4700d profit44d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue