0xaef998...dedc3a

Smart Score

Win Rate

94.9%

Total P&L

+$18.1K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.25

Sortino Ratio

0.25

Max Drawdown

271.0%

ROI

4.0%

Profit Factor

32.44

Kelly Fraction

0.920

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	8.11	Feb 7
Raptors vs. Wizards	BUY	27.0¢	10	Dec 26
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	BUY	98.8¢	10.223	Dec 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	30.09	Dec 4
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?	BUY	99.7¢	16.048	Nov 11
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.5¢	61.306	Oct 29
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?	BUY	99.6¢	7.57	Oct 29
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.8¢	8.116	Sep 25
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?	BUY	99.9¢	11.211	Sep 25
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 August 25–31?	BUY	99.8¢	8.16	Aug 30
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?	BUY	96.5¢	3.42	Aug 1
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	BUY	81.0¢	5.062	Aug 1
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?	BUY	99.5¢	3.115	Jul 20
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	BUY	99.6¢	7.028	Jul 20
Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Jul 20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?	BUY	94.9¢	2.318	Jul 10
Will Matteo Jorgenson win the Tour de France 2025?	BUY	98.8¢	4.96	Jul 10
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Jul 2
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	3.51	Jun 25
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?	BUY	99.8¢	5.05	Jun 25

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.7%

Win Consistency79.7%

Profit Factor1.02

Drawdown Resilience0.82

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82

Weekly Sharpe est.0.63

Trading Activity83 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$37,0601d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue