0xaf0054...72af7a

Smart Score

Win Rate

32.8%

Total P&L

-$25

Trade Count

487

Sharpe Ratio

1.28

Sortino Ratio

12.21

Max Drawdown

341.1%

ROI

-4.5%

Profit Factor

0.05

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	38.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	23.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	38.0¢	2.56	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	2.564	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	SELL	8.8¢	2.8	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	SELL	8.8¢	8.43	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.9¢	11.236	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	25.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	SELL	8.7¢	10.87	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	9.2¢	10.87	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	SELL	8.6¢	14	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.4¢	14	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	SELL	8.2¢	18.34	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.1¢	1.088	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.1¢	5	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.2¢	12.256	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	38.0¢	2.5	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	40.0¢	2.5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BUY	72.0¢	1.389	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.7%

Win Consistency52.7%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity487 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$286d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue