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0xaf16eb...c0645d

0xaf16eb...c0645d
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
61.1%
Total P&L
-$6
Trade Count
265
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Sortino Ratio
0.03
Max Drawdown
100687.3%
ROI
-2.1%
Profit Factor
-0.42
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL94.3¢1.05Mar 5
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?SELL87.0¢1.13Mar 5
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY88.0¢1.136Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.4¢1.059Mar 5
Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL91.0¢1.08Feb 27
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 27
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?SELL95.0¢1.07Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL90.0¢1.08Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL90.0¢3.29Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY92.0¢1.087Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY92.0¢1.087Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY91.0¢1.099Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY91.0¢1.099Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 26
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL90.0¢1.1Feb 23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL94.3¢1.06Feb 23
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY91.0¢1.099Feb 23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY94.7¢1.056Feb 23
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL91.0¢1.08Feb 23
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY92.0¢1.087Feb 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%5%30–50%11%50–70%12%70–80%15%80–90%52%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.3%
Win Consistency48.6%
Profit Factor0.01
Drawdown Resilience0.01
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.01
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity265 trades · 55 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$79d profit46d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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