0xaf2a0a...9464dd

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$468

Trade Count

1,435

Sharpe Ratio

0.34

Sortino Ratio

158.27

Max Drawdown

41.9%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

9.10

Kelly Fraction

0.593

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

074.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	44.12	Mar 5
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	73.67	Mar 5
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	98.0¢	181.77	Mar 5
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	201.3	Mar 5
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	315.78	Mar 5
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	98.8¢	316.44	Mar 5
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	396.17	Mar 5
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	97.7¢	34.14	Mar 5
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	98.1¢	79.61	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	2.31	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	2.49	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	4.05	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	3.83	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	2.39	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	5.97	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	6.38	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	4.83	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	4.62	Mar 5
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	7.05	Mar 5
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	97.7¢	2.36	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active74.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)67.5%

Win Consistency54.5%

Profit Factor1.93

Drawdown Resilience1.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.56

Weekly Sharpe est.1.19

Trading Activity1,315 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

+$32914d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue