0xaf353d...e19a45

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.8%

Total P&L

+$3.5K

Trade Count

3,489

Sharpe Ratio

0.27

Sortino Ratio

6.38

Max Drawdown

100.3%

ROI

16.7%

Profit Factor

9.03

Kelly Fraction

0.212

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	25.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	11.0¢	27.77	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	11.0¢	8.09	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	36.83	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	40.323	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	1.613	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	21.215	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	50	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	6.01	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	10	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	100	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	83.982	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	41.37	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	8.63	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	12.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	SELL	38.0¢	62.5	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	0.1¢	100	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	37.0¢	50	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	12.0¢	200	Mar 4
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BUY	34.0¢	100	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%

Win Consistency46.9%

Profit Factor0.97

Drawdown Resilience0.78

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity3,489 trades · 256 active days

P&L Calendar

+$2,012120d profit136d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue