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0xaf9a2a...9fc409

0xaf9a2a...9fc409
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
45.5%
Total P&L
-$2
Trade Count
51
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Sortino Ratio
0.82
Max Drawdown
71.4%
ROI
-2.5%
Profit Factor
0.80
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Mavericks vs. MagicBUY23.0¢10Mar 5
Mavericks vs. MagicBUY78.0¢10Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?BUY49.0¢2.041Feb 27
Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?BUY19.0¢10.526Feb 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?BUY23.0¢8.696Feb 9
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY28.0¢3.571Feb 8
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?BUY15.0¢6.667Feb 3
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?SELL60.0¢4.34Feb 2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL98.5¢5.88Feb 2
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?SELL97.2¢6.16Jan 28
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY97.4¢6.16Jan 28
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY22.0¢4.545Jan 26
Will the US strike Venezuela next?BUY1.3¢74.631Jan 20
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?BUY42.0¢2.381Jan 19
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?BUY44.0¢2.273Jan 14
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?BUY23.0¢4.348Jan 12
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?BUY35.0¢2.857Jan 12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY13.9¢7.194Jan 6
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?BUY4.3¢23.256Jan 6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY9.0¢11.111Jan 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%16%10–20%16%20–30%30%30–50%8%50–70%5%70–80%5%80–90%11%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.73
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.6%
Win Consistency38.2%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity51 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$262d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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