0xafbcfa...35e185

0xafbcfa...35e185
Smart Score
61
Win Rate
40.0%
Total P&L
+$54.9K
Trade Count
773
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Sortino Ratio
-0.12
Max Drawdown
17.7%
ROI
128.9%
Profit Factor
14.16
Kelly Fraction
0.372
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
060.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will The Lost Bus win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY1.7¢348.28Mar 4
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY9.0¢544.444Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY50.0¢20Mar 1
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY2.6¢10,008.639Jan 21
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?BUY2.5¢10,088.653Jan 21
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?SELL13.5¢216.25Jan 11
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?SELL13.5¢108.741Jan 11
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?SELL11.9¢600Jan 11
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?SELL0.1¢26,585.52Jan 11
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?BUY11.6¢17,250.34Jan 10
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY16.0¢217Jan 9
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY16.0¢100Jan 9
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY16.0¢100Jan 9
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY16.0¢34Jan 9
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY16.0¢712Jan 9
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY16.0¢100Jan 9
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY16.0¢137Jan 9
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY21.0¢5Jan 9
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?BUY21.0¢495Jan 9
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?BUY1.0¢6,000Jan 9
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%75%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%6%30–50%50–70%5%70–80%6%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active60.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.35
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)55.4%
Win Consistency51.4%
Profit Factor1.58
Drawdown Resilience1.28
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.28
Weekly Sharpe est.0.97
Trading Activity773 trades · 51 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$12,83115d profit36d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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