0xafddbd...6d09ff

Smart Score

Win Rate

74.0%

Total P&L

-$98

Trade Count

692

Sharpe Ratio

-1.16

Sortino Ratio

-2.09

Max Drawdown

3742.3%

ROI

-6.9%

Profit Factor

0.62

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.5¢	3.349	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	SELL	98.9¢	1.16	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.5¢	1.349	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	1.133	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BUY	95.0¢	1.053	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	BUY	96.0¢	1.042	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	2.041	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	2.031	Mar 4
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	2.553	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	4.054	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	26.0¢	17.82	Mar 3
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	1.901	Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	75.0¢	1.333	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	BUY	95.0¢	2.105	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	1.351	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	BUY	79.0¢	1.266	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	2.174	Mar 3
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	1.935	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	1.08	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.02

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.4%

Win Consistency17.6%

Profit Factor0.01

Drawdown Resilience0.01

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.01

Weekly Sharpe est.0.01

Trading Activity692 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$9732d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue