0xaffba2...52c689

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.7%

Total P&L

-$314

Trade Count

180

Sharpe Ratio

0.14

Sortino Ratio

0.39

Max Drawdown

12522.3%

ROI

-11.0%

Profit Factor

0.51

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	64.0¢	7.5	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	12.4¢	38.63	Mar 5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	46.9¢	18.417	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	2.6¢	124	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	43.0¢	124	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	16.9¢	18.51	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	22.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	21.0¢	4.8	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	18.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	18.9¢	18.519	Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	13.514	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	66.0¢	1.515	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	74.0¢	1.351	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	76.0¢	19.737	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	56.0¢	26.786	Mar 3
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	49.0¢	40.816	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	96.0¢	125	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	44.9¢	46.23	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	44.9¢	25.19	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.1%

Win Consistency42.5%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity180 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$7025d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue