0xb00993...38b498

0xb00993...38b498
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
51.1%
Total P&L
+$531
Trade Count
966
Sharpe Ratio
0.58
Sortino Ratio
11.58
Max Drawdown
191.0%
ROI
3.3%
Profit Factor
1.09
Kelly Fraction
0.040
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY89.4¢20Feb 28
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL99.9¢3.99Feb 25
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL99.9¢4.48Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL99.8¢100Feb 24
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL99.8¢188.4Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY97.2¢100Feb 24
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY97.9¢63.4Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL99.9¢50Feb 24
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY98.0¢125Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL99.9¢236Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY98.9¢23.95Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY98.9¢26.05Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY96.0¢92.65Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY96.0¢88.336Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY96.0¢25Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY96.0¢0.01Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY96.0¢30Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL99.7¢109.99Feb 24
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL98.0¢29.9Feb 24
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL98.0¢10.204Feb 24
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%12%10–20%7%20–30%13%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%11%80–90%26%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.54
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.5%
Win Consistency53.3%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity966 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$36518d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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