0xb06db5...15b423

0xb06db5...15b423
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
62.5%
Total P&L
-$2.1K
Trade Count
43
Sharpe Ratio
0.90
Sortino Ratio
1.06
Max Drawdown
1100.0%
ROI
-12.1%
Profit Factor
0.01
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.2¢2,098Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.2¢2,000Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.2¢2,000Mar 4
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL1.8¢1,036.08Mar 4
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL1.8¢863.92Mar 4
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.8¢50Mar 3
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.8¢1,850Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.3¢850Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.3¢1,050Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢50Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢1,850Mar 3
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢635.4Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢964.6Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢1,600Mar 2
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on March 2?BUY99.7¢35Mar 1
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.5¢1,550Feb 26
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢1,500Feb 26
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢50Feb 26
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?SELL0.3¢817.19Feb 25
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?SELL0.3¢1,082.78Feb 25
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%71%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%21%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity43 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,1642d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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