0xb0e6e7...68f665

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.2%

Total P&L

-$12

Trade Count

357

Sharpe Ratio

0.76

Sortino Ratio

10.19

Max Drawdown

20.5%

ROI

-0.5%

Profit Factor

0.36

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	10.28	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	10.267	Mar 4
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	6.01	Mar 4
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	98.3¢	10.16	Mar 4
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	98.4¢	10.163	Mar 4
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	98.8¢	5.05	Mar 4
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	98.9¢	5.056	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	6.012	Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.3¢	7.11	Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.4¢	7.114	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	93.7¢	5.32	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	93.9¢	5.325	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	6.12	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	6.129	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.2¢	9.72	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%

Win Consistency46.7%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity357 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$13710d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue