0xb11a2b...68a80e

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.6%

Total P&L

-$2.7K

Trade Count

160

Sharpe Ratio

-0.29

Sortino Ratio

-0.49

Max Drawdown

585.5%

ROI

-8.2%

Profit Factor

0.54

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	14.6¢	2,917.46	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	79.4¢	758.488	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.6¢	1,676.335	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	59.1¢	369.403	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	83.2¢	218.308	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	91.8¢	612.102	Mar 2
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	181.601	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	561.911	Mar 2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?	BUY	55.0¢	29.545	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	91.0¢	17.85	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	17.852	Feb 27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	0.7¢	1,498.36	Feb 27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	689.223	Feb 1
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	657.07	Feb 1
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	657.078	Jan 31
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	593.75	Jan 31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	809.141	Jan 30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	79.9¢	626.091	Jan 30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	79.6¢	628.389	Jan 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.1%

Win Consistency44.8%

Profit Factor0.15

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity160 trades · 61 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,5849d profit42d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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