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0xb11ca9...f7e31a

0xb11ca9...f7e31a
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
66.7%
Total P&L
+$9
Trade Count
44
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Sortino Ratio
0.50
Max Drawdown
9966.7%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
1.32
Kelly Fraction
0.160
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 4.5BUY28.0¢12.39Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL93.0¢125.92Feb 19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY93.0¢125.925Feb 13
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL98.3¢119.13Jan 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY98.2¢119.134Jan 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL98.2¢85Jan 21
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY89.0¢85Jan 3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL99.8¢83.14Jan 1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY99.8¢83.146Dec 30
TikTok sale announced by March 31?SELL99.7¢56.32Dec 23
TikTok sale announced by March 31?BUY98.0¢56.327Dec 22
Spurs vs. KnicksBUY45.0¢2.822Dec 16
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?SELL99.9¢54.88Dec 11
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?BUY99.9¢54.884Dec 11
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?SELL99.4¢64.28Dec 3
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY98.9¢64.287Nov 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?SELL84.0¢60.72Nov 25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY83.0¢60.723Nov 24
76ers vs. BucksBUY52.0¢2.885Nov 20
Hornets vs. PacersBUY54.0¢3.185Nov 19

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%24%30–50%24%50–70%3%70–80%6%80–90%39%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.87
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.5%
Win Consistency56.3%
Profit Factor0.41
Drawdown Resilience0.33
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Trading Activity44 trades · 34 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2479d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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