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0xb120a5...ca2a55

0xb120a5...ca2a55
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
60.8%
Total P&L
+$7
Trade Count
382
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Sortino Ratio
0.59
Max Drawdown
159.3%
ROI
2.1%
Profit Factor
1.16
Kelly Fraction
0.083
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY64.0¢1.828Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY64.0¢1.688Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY2.0¢53.5Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY51.8¢2.066Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY51.9¢2.062Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY51.7¢2.07Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL99.7¢36.03Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY6.5¢16.462Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL3.8¢28.15Mar 1
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?SELL5.4¢0.35Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?SELL5.1¢0.01Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?SELL5.9¢1.61Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?SELL5.9¢0.11Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY94.9¢1.128Feb 27
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?SELL96.9¢1.15Feb 27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢28.158Feb 24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL97.0¢0.78Feb 24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL97.0¢0.12Feb 24
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?SELL99.5¢0.27Feb 17
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?BUY93.3¢1.147Feb 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%3%10–20%20–30%15%30–50%17%50–70%21%70–80%18%80–90%22%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.17
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.3%
Win Consistency61.5%
Profit Factor0.55
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity382 trades · 22 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$13611d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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