0xb12897...57cf58

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.4%

Total P&L

+$7.0K

Trade Count

191

Sharpe Ratio

-0.54

Sortino Ratio

-0.75

Max Drawdown

655.4%

ROI

18.6%

Profit Factor

5.19

Kelly Fraction

0.415

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	41.8¢	1,997.104	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	20.2¢	2,401.56	Mar 5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	18.2¢	13,714.761	Mar 5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	3.1¢	81,478.156	Mar 5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	2.7¢	11,111.111	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	18.3¢	2,735.783	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?	BUY	29.8¢	335.677	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	BUY	86.0¢	348.953	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	89.0¢	400	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	91.6¢	164.55	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	23.0¢	2,401.55	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	833.333	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	384.615	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	769.231	Mar 3
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	73.0¢	894.48	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	10.0¢	2,000	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	13.0¢	1,540.933	Mar 2
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	91.5¢	235.45	Mar 2
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	73.0¢	105.52	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	66.9¢	1,494.602	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.3%

Win Consistency54.8%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity191 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$31,0131d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue