0xb128b1...a5a01f

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.69

Sortino Ratio

4.66

Max Drawdown

13.2%

ROI

-49.6%

Profit Factor

0.28

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	2.69	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	BUY	47.7¢	2.096	Feb 8
Cavaliers vs. Suns	BUY	50.0¢	2.02	Jan 29
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	BUY	47.0¢	5.1	Dec 25
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?	SELL	57.0¢	0.33	Oct 2
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?	BUY	59.0¢	0.339	Oct 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	50.4¢	10.357	Sep 29

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.3%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.84

Drawdown Resilience0.68

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68

Weekly Sharpe est.0.52

Trading Activity4 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$60d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue