0xb1a190...e2d308

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.7%

Total P&L

+$24.3K

Trade Count

993

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.94

Max Drawdown

1547.0%

ROI

22.3%

Profit Factor

5.91

Kelly Fraction

0.645

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?	BUY	95.5¢	26.87	Mar 4
Will Harry Styles release an album in 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	401	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	10.204	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	BUY	95.0¢	10.526	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	BUY	90.5¢	22.088	Mar 4
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?	BUY	98.3¢	23.219	Mar 4
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?	BUY	96.3¢	60	Mar 4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	11.18	Mar 4
Will Harry Styles release an album in 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	209.79	Mar 4
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	SELL	62.0¢	4.5	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)	BUY	54.0¢	9.259	Mar 4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	6.897	Mar 4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	18.47	Mar 4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	3.448	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	97.6¢	355	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	77.7¢	182.92	Mar 4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	40	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	77.9¢	70	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	77.9¢	110	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	77.6¢	67	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.7%

Win Consistency41.7%

Profit Factor0.79

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity993 trades · 47 active days

P&L Calendar

$31,9617d profit40d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue