0xb22085...c45f71

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.5%

Total P&L

-$2.7K

Trade Count

1,816

Sharpe Ratio

0.09

Sortino Ratio

0.14

Max Drawdown

369.6%

ROI

-8.3%

Profit Factor

0.38

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.0¢	15	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.0¢	13.02	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	13	Mar 5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	60.0¢	1.717	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	10.598	Mar 5
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	51.0¢	26.098	Mar 5
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	80.0¢	77.5	Mar 5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs	BUY	69.0¢	6.452	Mar 5
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs	BUY	59.0¢	7.317	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	69.8¢	7.02	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	35.0¢	35.286	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	84.1¢	2.259	Mar 5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	55.0¢	48.927	Mar 5
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.0¢	3.86	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.0¢	47.857	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.1¢	100	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	83.0¢	15.108	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	69.0¢	23.072	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	83.0¢	35.554	Mar 4
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?	BUY	98.4¢	53.15	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency54.1%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity1,640 trades · 93 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,10017d profit76d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue