0xb28228...c854c5

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.1%

Total P&L

-$86

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.08

Sortino Ratio

-0.20

Max Drawdown

450.5%

ROI

-2.1%

Profit Factor

0.87

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.5¢	100.502	Mar 5
OKX IPO in 2026?	BUY	37.7¢	26.518	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	97.1¢	113.445	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 3?	BUY	86.2¢	110.191	Mar 3
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	97.1¢	94.748	Feb 27
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	93.0¢	97.73	Feb 27
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	97.73	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 26?	BUY	98.8¢	101.183	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?	BUY	83.0¢	54.904	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?	BUY	88.7¢	23.59	Feb 1
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	21.978	Feb 1
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?	BUY	68.0¢	16.176	Jan 21
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 13?	BUY	74.0¢	8.108	Jan 13
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 13?	BUY	89.0¢	12.36	Jan 13
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	52.5	Jan 13
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	29.0¢	34.483	Jan 10
XRP Up or Down on January 10?	BUY	17.1¢	58.336	Jan 10
Ethereum Up or Down on January 9?	BUY	79.5¢	125.738	Jan 9
Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	44.9¢	44.557	Jan 7
OKX IPO in 2026?	BUY	49.5¢	20.184	Jan 7

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.5%

Win Consistency35.5%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity70 trades · 48 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,2102d profit45d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue