0xb2a966...5225d5

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.1%

Total P&L

+$24

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.33

Sortino Ratio

0.40

Max Drawdown

283.0%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.11

Kelly Fraction

0.044

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	14.6¢	93.16	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.1¢	93.168	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	SELL	16.0¢	28.16	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	83.7¢	135.24	Mar 3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	71.0¢	28.169	Mar 3
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?	BUY	66.8¢	149.68	Mar 2
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?	SELL	67.2¢	285.61	Mar 2
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?	BUY	71.5¢	285.611	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?	SELL	99.9¢	204.36	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	88.0¢	175.375	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	96.0¢	12.59	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	73.9¢	135.243	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	39.7¢	12.594	Feb 28
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	49.0¢	20.83	Feb 28
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	24.0¢	20.833	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SELL	5.9¢	62.5	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	4.8¢	62.5	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	SELL	72.0¢	106.01	Feb 27
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	69.0¢	28.986	Feb 27
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 27?	BUY	54.0¢	37.037	Feb 26

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.6%

Win Consistency54.3%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity82 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$46913d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue