0xb3168b...c708d3

0xb3168b...c708d3
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
97.6%
Total P&L
+$166
Trade Count
168
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36
Sortino Ratio
-0.19
Max Drawdown
2412.5%
ROI
2.0%
Profit Factor
2.66
Kelly Fraction
0.609
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 6?BUY97.9¢55.7Mar 5
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $325?BUY98.5¢10.7Mar 4
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY85.0¢6.16Mar 4
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY95.0¢61.6Mar 3
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 3 - 2 Manchester United FC?BUY98.0¢98Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 2?BUY87.6¢7.12Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 2?BUY97.6¢71.2Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 1?BUY94.0¢21.3Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 1?BUY96.0¢89.4Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY88.0¢8.78Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY98.0¢87.9Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?BUY85.1¢9.49Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?BUY95.1¢94.9Feb 27
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 27?SELL99.4¢5.54Feb 26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27?SELL94.3¢0.7Feb 26
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?BUY97.0¢33Feb 26
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 27?BUY99.1¢55.4Feb 26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27?SELL94.3¢6Feb 26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27?BUY94.0¢67Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or higher on February 27?BUY98.1¢35Feb 25
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%14%80–90%86%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%
Win Consistency46.0%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity168 trades · 82 active days
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P&L Calendar
$8,2585d profit77d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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