0xb32956...8d4161

0xb32956...8d4161
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
34.2%
Total P&L
+$58
Trade Count
938
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Sortino Ratio
13.82
Max Drawdown
1014.9%
ROI
1.5%
Profit Factor
1.11
Kelly Fraction
0.034
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
024.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY4.9¢61.04Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?SELL30.0¢9.99Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL26.0¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY15.0¢0.14Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY15.0¢5.88Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY15.0¢3.972Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY13.0¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?SELL28.0¢13.79Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?BUY29.0¢13.793Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 6?SELL30.0¢6.67Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?SELL19.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 6?BUY6.0¢6.67Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY16.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 3?BUY26.0¢3.846Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 3?SELL22.0¢6.1Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?SELL20.0¢9.99Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?BUY16.0¢0.47Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?BUY16.0¢9.524Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 3?SELL25.0¢6.1Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 3?BUY23.0¢5Mar 3
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%12%10–20%20%20–30%22%30–50%14%50–70%6%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.4%
Win Consistency54.9%
Profit Factor0.64
Drawdown Resilience0.52
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity938 trades · 44 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$95519d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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