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0xb3300d...ff840e

0xb3300d...ff840e
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
90.1%
Total P&L
-$27
Trade Count
397
Sharpe Ratio
-1.92
Sortino Ratio
-1.75
Max Drawdown
2701.0%
ROI
-0.9%
Profit Factor
1.26
Kelly Fraction
0.186
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
010.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢8.197Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢8.163Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ETBUY99.9¢10.01Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢10.92Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.9¢10.01Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢0.08Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢11.393Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢11.475Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.5¢6.55Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.7¢6.543Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢11.45Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.8¢11.421Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL79.0¢7.65Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢17.64Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢17.647Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY78.4¢7.653Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢10.21Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢8.511Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%10%70–80%4%80–90%70%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing10.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%
Win Consistency42.7%
Profit Factor0.28
Drawdown Resilience0.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.17
Trading Activity397 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5318d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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