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0xb3389c...f6606e

0xb3389c...f6606e
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
48.4%
Total P&L
-$1.7K
Trade Count
587
Sharpe Ratio
0.44
Sortino Ratio
3.15
Max Drawdown
172.8%
ROI
-2.6%
Profit Factor
0.88
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?BUY18.5¢9Feb 13
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?BUY18.5¢6,699Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL18.1¢6,870.97Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL18.5¢2.02Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY29.0¢1,968.11Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY29.0¢1,000Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY29.0¢2.634Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY29.0¢145.25Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY59.7¢80Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY59.0¢400Feb 13
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?BUY65.1¢110Feb 13
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?BUY65.1¢95.141Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY60.0¢400Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY65.2¢1,000Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY66.0¢479.41Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY66.0¢20.588Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY85.5¢175Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY88.5¢284Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY96.6¢518Feb 12
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?BUY95.8¢1,103Feb 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%4%10–20%10%20–30%37%30–50%33%50–70%4%70–80%7%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.99
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.4%
Win Consistency55.5%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity587 trades · 78 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$14,58918d profit60d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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