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0xb3572d...f5b99c

0xb3572d...f5b99c
Smart Score
50
Win Rate
56.4%
Total P&L
+$8.1K
Trade Count
262
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Sortino Ratio
0.88
Max Drawdown
48.5%
ROI
18.7%
Profit Factor
2.70
Kelly Fraction
0.355
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
050/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?SELL25.1¢2,452.08Mar 4
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?SELL26.0¢557Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY46.6¢176.27Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY45.6¢36.88Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY6.8¢94.74Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY30.3¢163.22Feb 22
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?SELL13.9¢1,593.46Feb 22
Will Team Vitality win the LEC 2026 Versus?BUY1.7¢83Feb 22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.7¢1.16Feb 22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.7¢21.96Feb 22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.7¢1,833.37Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY44.9¢61.54Feb 19
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?BUY84.9¢1,104.9Feb 19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY46.0¢25Feb 19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY45.4¢26.46Feb 19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY44.7¢114.67Feb 19
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY20.0¢2.5Feb 19
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY20.0¢7.5Feb 19
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY20.0¢15Feb 19
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY19.8¢542.43Feb 19

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%6%10–20%5%20–30%30%30–50%16%50–70%7%70–80%6%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing50

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.5%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor1.30
Drawdown Resilience1.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.80
Trading Activity262 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,0984d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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